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Exactly when the end of the current crisis, the public is divided. Current winter for more ordinary investors and the public for a sample is less than "very experienced" for enterprises, especially private entrepreneurs, but it is at any time must be prepared to deal with the norm. Regardless of economic trends, business operations will encounter a variety of difficulties, many of them deadly threat posed. We published Aokang Group Chairman and President Wang Tao of the current economic situation judged articles in this together "spring how far, and he have a sensational impact in the industry in five years ago," Winter is not far away ". Ask this thinking celecoxib, for many people, surely not a good feeling in their hearts. Exactly when the end of the current crisis, the public is divided. Current winter for more ordinary investors and the public for a sample is less than "very experienced" for enterprises, especially private entrepreneurs, but it is at any time must be prepared to deal with the norm. Regardless of economic trends, business operations will encounter a variety of difficulties, many of them deadly threat posed. We published Aokang Group Chairman and President Wang Tao of the current economic situation judged articles in this together "spring how far, and he have a sensational impact in the industry in five years ago,Asics Shoes Australia," Winter is not far away ". Ask this thinking celecoxib, for many people, surely not a good feeling in their hearts. 5 years ago, when the manufacturing sector prosperity, the shoe is a sunny day, I have an internal meeting of the companys issued winter is not far away "warning. This internal speech after the disclosure by the media, caused quite a stir in the industry. Today, winter is not only to, and is minus 20 degrees in winter, we live in the meantime, our empathy. Lets just say, Take our country for the past one year, the enterprises have ceased production, closure of business owners to escape even suicide message, as well as the colored version of the rumor, and from time to time impact on our eardrums. Closures of private enterprises in Zhejiang, Guangdong enterprises closures message often see in the major media. Then five years ago, winter is not far away, "the topic, I want to talk about spring How far". A mention of the economic winter now, people will inevitably references the famous German poet Percy Bysshe Shelleys poem: "If winter comes, can spring be far behind?" - But when will the spring, Vientiane rejuvenation,Cheap Nike Shoes, spring is in the end away from us How far is it? To answer this question requires careful combing and a careful reading of the current international and domestic macroeconomic situation. Only by grasping the macroeconomic situation, in order to make a reasonable judgment on economic trends, in order to provide a scientific basis for business decisions. Whether it is the most difficult year for the world economy, Chinese economy, Zhejiang, 2008 are the most difficult year. The financial turmoil caused by the U.S. subprime mortgage crisis still impact on the global economy. Beginning in early 2008, we have witnessed too many international financial institutions fell down, to the brink of bankruptcy from the U.S. investment bank Bear Stearns in March to July, the two major U.S. housing mortgage market giants Fannie Mae and room The land of the United States, "the troubled, to September, Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch & Co. and American International Group, have been declared bankrupt, and a shocking cases beckons: ferocious of this financial crisis. In early December 2008, I went to a trip to New York, and deeply felt the impact of the financial crisis on the worlds number one economic power in the United States. The United States is the largest developed country in the world, and its economic and trade volume ranks first in the world. Because of this pivotal position also inevitably affected by the impact of the U.S. financial crisis, the Chinese economy. At the same time, due to Chinas main export destination countries and regions are also suffering the impact of the U.S. financial crisis, declining economic growth and export, to some extent, will inevitably lead to the relative decline in the growth rate of exports and export economy shrinking. In these affected the largest province should be outgoing or high dependence on exports of Zhejiang. According to the provincial departments statistics, from January to August 2008, the losses of small businesses in the province increased by 50.3%, an increase of 8.4 percentage points over the first half, the loss of large and medium-sized industrial enterprises grew by 2.4 times, 1.5 times more than the first half of the year to expand; Statistics also show that, down to 9.8% in the month of 7,8,9 Zhejiang above-scale industrial added value monthly increase from 14.9% in March, 6.1% and 6.4% growth rate for a minimum of 10 years. The microeconomic main difficult, contrasting the private economy in Zhejiang Province is experiencing a difficult time. From the relevant departments of the data show that the first quarter of 2008, the first half of the year and the first three quarters, Zhejiang GDP growth year-on-year respectively 2.8,3.3 and 4.1 percentage points lower, showed a trend of gradually declined, expected fourth-quarter growth will continue to slow . The provincial economic work conference held on December 25, said,グッチ 財布, according to initial estimates, the 2008 annual economic growth of about 10 percent. 10% is what concept? Nearly 10 years, the largest downward adjustment of Zhejiangs economy, but also the economy of Zhejiang adjust not seen since the new growth cycle. Since 1999, Zhejiangs economic growth into the stable stage of rapid development, especially in the beginning of 2001 to the international market demand gradually to replace the domestic market demand, Zhejiangs economic development ushered in the best period since the reform and opening up, the GDP growth rate in the past eight years maintained average annual high of 11.6 percent growth in 2003 and 2007 two-year growth rate reached 14.7%. It is no exaggeration to say that Zhejiangs economy has ushered in the most difficult year for the past 30 years of reform and opening up, the the Zhejiang economy is facing close to 10 years, the biggest challenge. Exactly how far living in biting winter spring, will naturally look forward to a sunny spring. Well, the spring away from us in the end how far? Said more bluntly, when the economic situation can be completely warmed up? For the afternoon, in the end is pessimistic about or optimistic, still based on the judgment of the current economic trends,Nike NZ. Above all, to look at the economic trends in the United States, because, as I said before, the United States is the number one power in the world economy, the current U.S. share of the world economy is still as high as the proportion of about 22%, the U.S. dollar is the worlds premier currency, the United States catches a cold, the world sneezes " the phenomenon has not changed, the trend in the U.S. economy largely affect the trend of the global economy. One view is that there is no dispute that the U.S. economy is facing the most severe recession since the 1980s stagflation threat. Specific trend, there are three different judgment. Optimistic judgment that the U.S. economic decline is inevitable, but not a severe recession, and does not last long, is expected to slow in time to 2009 out of the recession, there may be "modest recovery"; pessimistic judgment that the U.S. economy will enter long-term recession, the continuation of the time and the degree of recession is the most severe since the 1929-1933 "Great Depression"; held in the judgment that the U.S. economy is entering a recession, this recession will last 2-3 years. Currently, the national experts tend holders in perspective. On this basis, that the the global economic adjustment cycle will last 2-3 years, including Zhejiangs economy and the Chinese economy, may also have the adjustment period of about 2-3 years. The financial crisis will continue to impact on the Chinese economy, Zhejiang. First, by weakening external demand, exports will continue to slow down, will be a direct result of excess production capacity in some industries, the impact of economic growth and investment growth; affected by the financial turmoil in the capital markets exacerbate the effects of global cross-border M & A activity show a downward trend, inflows in Asia and Chinas capital is reduced. Obama took office in January 2009, his economic policy in favor of one of the U.S. presidential campaign,Nike Free shoes, multinational companies overseas investment to levy taxes, its main purpose is to multinational companies attract foreign investment back to the United States to the revitalization of the U.S. real economy, create more employment opportunities. Third, the financial crisis will affect Chinas asset prices to indirectly affect consumer demand. Stock market value has shrunk dramatically and the downturn of the real estate market, the wealth effect has greatly changed, the the consumer upgrade process delay, suppressed consumer demand, the the consumer pulling power subject to the new challenges. Due to the complex changes in the international and domestic macroeconomic environment, whether it is in the Chinese economy, or Zhejiang Economic, 2009 will continue to face unprecedented grim situation of development, economic growth will fall further. The IMF expects Chinas economic growth rate has slowed down in 2008 and 2009, an increase of 9.7% and 9.3%, respectively; National Information Center forecast Chinas GDP growth in 2008 and 2009, respectively, 10% and 9%. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Chinas GDP growth in 2008 is forecast to slow to about 9.5%, further slowed to 9% in 2009. Provincial economic work conference, Zhejiang determine the 2009 economic growth target of 9 percent. Some people might ask, the new changes in the international and domestic economic environment, the recent national macro-control policies to make timely adjustments taken to improve the part of the industrys export tax rebate rate to lower the deposit reserve ratio of financial institutions and the deposit and lending rates, suspend the charging of interest income tax and other policy measures, fiscal policy from "prudent" to "active" monetary policy from "tight" to "moderately loose" and introduced to stimulate the economy "four trillion plan",http://nikefreeshoecheap.webs.com/, why the various departments of the future economic development is expected to, or held "low-key" attitude? actually not difficult to understand. First, the short-term effect of policies is also difficult to fully apparent; Second, the depth and duration of the impact of world economic adjustment, combined with the expansion of the domestic consumer demand, there is a process, in 2009, Chinas export economy and labor-intensive manufacturing production overcapacity problem will continue to receive a severe test. Clearly, at least in 2009, as a business, is still in need of this unprecedented market baptism, still need to find a winter jacket. Here, I would like to talk about why we think this winter is particularly cold, particularly tough? Fact, the past 30 years of reform and opening up, our entrepreneurs have experienced too much wind and rain, arduous, camped, devoted themselves to the enterprise from small family workshop has been done large enterprises are beginning to take shape, and the meantime crossed one another ordinary people can not imagine Hom,Louboutin Shoes Sale, many companies almost overnight down in the economic winter Hom - why is this? reasons many, such as the economic crisis fast and ferocious, their own poor management. But I think, the most fundamental reason is that the long-term economic prosperity, "blindly optimistic thinking, lack of sense of urgency and the concept of risk management. Due to long-term economic prosperity, many companies habits of thinking and acting in the rapid economic growth in interim, all kinds of decisions are affected by this "prosperity thinking" disposable, combined with never experienced a recession, would not have thought so in the summer to prepare for winter jacket. Perhaps the economic crisis will become a the collective "rite of passage" of Chinese enterprises, the Chinese enterprises in the history of a somewhat tragic color milestone.Related articles:

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