nator Dick Lugar in a Republican primary poll, 42 percent to 41 percent, http://www.burberrysaclpascher.com - short Burberry .The poll, commissioned by the Mourdock campaign, was conducted on April 16 and 17, http://www.burberrysaclpascher.com - Burberry Homme . The Indiana primary is on May 8, less than two weeks away, http://www.survetementlacosteepascher.com - lacoste femme .Dick Lugar, Richard MourdockLugar has been dogged by criticisms from outside conservative groups supporting Mourdock for his moderate stances on taxes and spending, as well as his perceived closeness with Democrats and Barack Obama. Mourdock himself has pushed the idea that Lugar is more in touch with Washington than Indiana. The Lugar campaign has fought back with claims that Mourdock has not fulfilled his duties as state treasurer properly and benefited from illegal tax deductions.[]
The Weekly Standard reserves the right to use your email for internal use only. Occasionally, we may send you special offers or communications from carefully selected advertisers we believe may be of benefit to our subscribers. Click the box to be included in these third party offers. We respect your privacy and will never rent or sell your email. Please include me in third party offers. Sean Trende has an important columnthatconnects presidential job approval to reelection results. You really should read the whole thing, but here is the big take home point[I]ncumbent elections havehistoricallylooked more like referenda than choices, and so far, this election is looking like one as well. Voters who approve of the incumbent largely vote for him; those that do not approve of the incumbent vote for the challenger, except in extreme circumstances.This is exactly right, and something I have been discussing forsome time now. It also points to why I thinkthe conventional wisdom of President Obama being a heavy favorite for reelectionismassively oversold. In fact, I’d argue that he is an underdog. For a simple reason A majority of Americans do not think Obama is doing a good job, and they have thought that for a very long time.Now, let’s be clear. It is not an overwhelming majority of Americans, not by any stretch. We are not in Nixon ’74, Carter ’79, or Bush ’08 territory with Obama. However, we have seen a durable 50-55 percent of Americans either disapprove or at least not approve of his job performance for quite a while. To appreciate this, consider the following picture, which tracks Obama’s job approval in theRealClearPolitics average,from the beginning of his term through the end of 2009.The president entered office with enormous public support, which he retained even after the relatively controversial stimulus bill. It was only when the health care debate started to heat up – between Memorial Day and Labor Day – that his numbers fell. And boy did they fall.On June 1, 2009 his net approval was a solid +28.2, but by September 1 it was at +7.8.The most noteworthy decline in 2009 occurred among independents. We can appreciate that when we take a look at the Gallup poll numbers from 2009.Gallup helpfully breaks down its approval data by party identification, and the numbers are illuminating.Obama
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